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'Behavioural science' and firearms: Zimring and Hawkins on lethal violence in America

by Ian Taylor, University of Durham, UK

Review essay on Franklin E. Zimring and Gordon Hawkins, Crime is Not the Problem: Lethal Violence in America.

New York and Oxford: Oxford University Press 1997. xii + 232 pp.

The interest of the British public in the firearms issue has been on the wane since 1997. If asked, most British citizens would probably offer the observation that the new Government's commitment to extend the ban on private ownership of handguns, as legislated in the Firearms Amendment Act in February 1997, to weapons of .22 calibre and above, puts an end to this issue, at least for the time being. The firearms threat-so tragically highlighted at Dunblane-has now been 'dealt with' and, it is widely assumed, the Home Office and the police forces of Britain are working in partnership to effect the process of surrender of handguns. Officials in the Home Office given formal responsibility for these policy areas point to the overall reduction in the numbers of offences involving firearms reported to the police in England and Wales since 1993: the total number of such offences known to the police has declined from 13,951 in 1993 to 12,304 in 1995. This widespread mood of satisfaction and reassurance on firearms was briefly challenged at the end of September-the deadline for the surrender of handguns under the February legislation-as some sections of the press momentarily reported on the coverage given to the apparent switch by many firearms owners into carbines and other, easily portable and shorter shotguns.1 But, like so many outbursts of anxious news items in the daily press in the late 1990s, the newsworthiness of the item proved short-lived, and did not survive long enough to produce any more extended or 'featured' investigation into the ways in which handgun owners in Britain were reorganizing their personal arsenals (or not) in the light of the Firearms Amendment Act.

One of the most powerful and continuing features of the anxieties which are evoked in Britain over any well-publicized use of firearms in public places is, of course, the anxiety that 'we are becoming like America'. There is an extraordinarily widespread 'commonsense' in Britain-so generally commonsensical, that is, as to be beyond examination-and it works to define the idea itself of Britishness (or; more often, in the dominant framework, 'Englishness') against the idea of America, in large part around the question of firearms. An absolutely defining assumption of this commonsense is the radical difference in rates of firearm crime in the two societies: in 1995, for example, the rate of 'homicide with firearms' in the United States was officially recorded as 6.4 per 100,000 people as against only 0.14 in Britain (Department of Justice, Canada, 1996). In the popular commonsense, these vast differences in risk and threat in the two societies are generally understood in terms of the specific history of the American settlement (not least, the legacy of the rifle and the pistol deriving, no doubt, from the 'Wild West') but also, in 'little England' of formulations, as an expression of the lack of development of a civilized form of life in the United States. Deeply embedded in these widespread forms of common-sense about Englishness are a number of arguments (some of which would find support among students of Norbert Elias and his analyses of the civilizing process) focusing on the restriction of ownership of lethal weapons only to 'responsible' citizens (the police and the army) or; of course, to gentlemen in duels-all this effected during the period of the Restoration in l688-as a measure of the progress of civilization itself.2

The commonsense that defines firearms as being in some sense un-English has clearly been far more important in recent debates over firearms control in this country than any more measured recital of statistics and trends-except insofar as these statistics confirm taken-for-granted understandings. So we are all reassured, for example, to read the several different research reports which suggest that Britain has one of the lowest rates of private firearms ownership in the world, while the United States has one of the highest.3 We have all also been prey in England, however; throughout the post-war period, to that other defining aspect of the conventional English commonsense about firearms in America, that is, the assumption that the high rate of ownership and use of private firearms in that country is a measure of a generally much higher overall rate of crime. In this well established commonsense, America is an 'Other' social and cultural formation against which the defining qualities of 'Englishness' can be understood and valued. We in England may have our problems-in running an efficient and modern, competitive economy, for example-but we have avoided America's problems with crime.

Franklin Zimring and Gordon Hawkins' new book was not written as an examination of any of these questions, though it is one of the curious and unintended consequences of the text-for an English reader-that it can be read as a commentary on the quite marked success that 'America' has had in recent years in combating most forms of non-violent crime, over and above its quite unparalleled problems with firearms and their use in ‘crimes against the person’. Crime is Not the Problem is a measured and careful evaluation, in part, of commonsense that popular in the United States-once again on the ascendant in that country-which conception the firearm not only as a constitutional right but also, quite specifically, as an important instrument in individual and collective avoidance of crime, that is, the widely held American belief that the carrying of a weapon acts as a deterrent to crime. So the book constitutes an important intervention into that commonsense: the latest attempt from a small group of social scientists in the United States (notably also including Arthur Kellermann at Emory University in Atlanta and Philip Cook at Duke University) who are prepared to examine the alternative proposition, namely the extraordinary and lethal consequence that results from the existence of a free market in firearms in civil society. Zimring and Hawkins, however; are decidedly in the camp of the careful evaluators, guided more by the facts which they choose to identify from officially generated sets of data, than by any more personal philosophical commitment. For Franklin Zimring, who has researched the issues of firearms crime in the United States for the last 30 years, the motivation in returning to this theme (with his friend and associate, Gordon Hawkins) seems to have been to bring together as many conclusive, international sources of data as possible in order to provide an authoritative summary of a lifetime's endeavour. The outcome is an extensive collection and assessment of a mass of research evidence - an extended and exhaustive comparative study of the levels of 'lethal violence' (homicide) in the United States, linked into an extended examination of the research data on just about every relevant issue (the importance of the drugs trade, the issue of race and violence, etc.) that ever gets raised in the conventional public debate over firearms in the United States.

So Zimring and Hawkins' text takes the form of a detailed comparative investigation of a wide range of empirical and statistical material on crime from the United States and other comparable 'criminal justice jurisdictions' (for example, of the patterns of victimization by burglaries and homicides in Los Angeles and Sydney, and New York and London; a detailed comparison of reported offence rates in different European member states and much more besides). Underpinning these various detailed empirical discussions is one distinct theoretical and political master argument, intended for American consumption, and a series of connected subsidiary arguments. The master argument is that the problems of fear and anxiety that are a given feature of everyday travels through specific areas of particular cities in the United States should be understood not in terms of the abstract and generalized idea of the 'fear of crime' but rather in terms of the calculations in which residents of such cities routinely have to engage over the chances of encountering some kind of lethal violence. By contrast, Zimring and Hawkins provide a close analysis in Chapter Three of patterns of non-violent property crime in the United States which suggests that the rate of property crime in that country (which has generally been in quite steady decline since the early 1980s) is now generally on a par with Canada, Spain, Italy, Australia and New Zealand. (About 28 percent of all Americans surveyed during 1988-91 in the International Victimization Survey reported being the victim during the previous year of some kind of non-violent property crime, i.e. 72 percent did not [Van Dijk and Mayhew, 1992].) The master argument is, of course, that what Americans speak of as their 'fear of crime' is actually an expression of the widespread availability of firearms and the spread in use of firearms as a weapon in crime: about 40 percent of all robberies committed in New York City in the 1 990s are committed with firearms (Zimring and Hawkins, 1997: 44). In 1992, there were 357 'robbery homicides' in New York City, as against only five in London (p.39). There were even 194 'lethal burglaries' in New York City in 1992, as against only two incidents in London which could be so described (p.45). But Zimring and Hawkins also show that the overall volume of robbery and burglary, combined, in New York City in 1992 (at 194 reported victimizations per 100,000 population) was actually lower than that reported for London (215 per 100,000). That is to say that 'robbery and burglary', aggregated together; were just as frequent in London as they were in New York, but, when they did occur in London, they were potentially and actually far less deadly. By implication, this picture is true for the United States in general, in comparison not just with Britain but with other western societies where firearms are not generally available or in widespread use by private citizens.

Zimring and Hawkins' main thesis is supported by several other connected arguments-all of vital and pressing importance for the American readership to whom the text is directed. So, for example, the argument is forcefully advanced that this widespread 'fear of lethal violence' is a major contributory factor independently of overall rates of crime (which, as we have said, have been falling in the United States continuously from the early 1980s). That is to say that the explosion of the prison population in the United States over the last two decades (an increase of 400 percent) has occurred in the Californian prison population between 1979 and 1994 (p.11) should be understood as an attempt to contain the play of violence in civil society by identifying any and all individuals suspected of being capable of violent offences and sequestrating them in different kinds of penal institution. In practice, in such a generalized and nervous atmosphere of preventative social defence and of 'exclusion' of potentially troublesome dangerous individuals, the police, courts and the criminal justice system as a whole will exponentially widen their use of surveillance, discipline and penal institutionalization. (In the United States, of course, the most recent expression of this intensified new regime of surveillance and exclusion is the 'Three Strikes and You're Out' legislation, first introduced in California in 1994 and now in effect in over 16 states).4 Zimring and Hawkins make good use of their access to Californian prison data in order to show how the nervy and explosive expansion in the prison population in that state has netted-not only 'the violent offender' but also a much larger number of non-violent offenders (who might previously not have ended up in penitentiaries). In 1991 only 35 percent of the 429,618 prisoners in Californian penitentiaries (four times larger a sample than in 1979) had been convicted of any kind of violent offence. The close empirical analysis that Zimring and Hawkins provide cries out for some theoretical reflection, as also do the larger questions of the trends in firearms use in different developed societies. Zimring and Hawkins are no social theorists, however; and they determinedly limit themselves to working within the paradigms of American behavioural science. We will return to these issues later in this review.

The other two subsidiary arguments in Crime is Not the Problem have to do with the 'African-American' question in the United States and the issue of the relation between firearms and the illicit drug markets. Both of these areas of debate and enquiry have important parallels with recent public debate around firearms, drugs and crime in Britain in the 1990s-one has only to mention the signifying terms 'the Yardie' and 'Moss Side' in order to make the point. On both issues, Zimring and Hawkins want us to stick closely to 'the facts'. In the first area, Zimring and Hawkins rely rather heavily on official American police statistics on homicide which highlight 'the fact' that some 55 percent of all people arrested for homicide (in 1992) were black. (This statistic has been at the centre of a fractious debate in public policy journals and editorials in the American press in recent months, as spokespeople for the radical right intellectuals (like John Deiulio of Princeton University, 1994) have attempted to develop new bioanthropological theories of the problem of the inner city and the underclass). To their credit, Zimring and Hawkins try to locate their discussion of African-American involvement in lethal violence in the analysis of the manifold structures of disadvantage that define the black experience in American cities, and which on many dimensions appear once again to be accelerating. What they do not do is introduce much of the data that is available on the extent to which African-Americans are also the victims of firearms availability and lethal violence in the United States (and to a quite extraordinary extent). Over 50 percent of all victims of non-fatal gunshot wounds reported to the Center for Disease Control by hospital emergency departments in the US in 1992 were black males (Zawitz, 1996). Other research had suggested that homicide is now the leading cause of death among black American men, and that the life-time risk of being murdered is now six times higher for young black men than it is for young white Americans (Fingerhut and Kleinman, 1989). Some commentators speak of this as a new, very contemporary form of genocidal process, resulting from the long-established impact of institutionalized racism, on the one hand, coupled with the vastly unequal and socially patterned impact of 'the war on welfare' that has been in progress in the United States under the last three administrations, on the other (Raup, 1996). What can surely never be ignored is the question of how the gun is somehow integral culturally to the continuing struggles waged by young black men in America to attain some kind of respect (indeed, of 'rep') in a society in which such respect is hard to find, outside of certain sports (Bourgois, 1995). Nor either; surely, can we ignore the extent to which the use of guns (for example, in neighbour-hoods of high and long-term unemployment which have been colonized by hidden economies of crime) is, indeed, an instrument specifically for the defence of market position-a clear expression of a vigorous competitiveness thought entirely legitimate and necessary at other levels of the same social formation. The purchase, ownership and the use of the gun is a matter of cultural and social process, rather than simply a matter of either malevolent individuals ('bad guys') or naive, constitutionalist-libertarian law making.

The role of the gun in enforcement of contracts is often thought, by those police officers and researchers in the United States who have come close to these hidden economies of crime, to be linked with the growth of the drug trade, and, in particular; the growth of extraordinary lucrative markets in cocaine in the 1980s. Zimring and Hawkins' own analysis of the existing data on patterns of firearms homicide in the United States, on the one hand, and the data we have on the evolution of the drug trade itself on the other; presents a rather more complicated picture, and a picture on which Zimring and Hawkins, ever faithful to the available data with which they are familiar or on which they are prepared to rely, are reluctant to generalize. In the aftermath of many years of argument about the constitutional right of all Americans 'to bear arms', there is no national system of firearms registration,5 but Zimring and Hawkins are able to identify a specific pattern to the evolution of firearms homicide. The long-term data suggest three distinct 'areas of American homicide'-'a long, downward drift to the century's lowest sustained homicide rate in the 1950s and early 1960s, a sharp and sustained increase during the period 1964 to 1974 and variations around the new high levels ever since' (p.58). Zimring and Hawkins are reluctant to theorize around these trends, but they clearly believe that these trend figures would tend to contradict the widely held belief that the incidence of lethal firearms use in America results from the explosion of the drugs trade in the 1980s, when the high levels of firearms use was already quite well established. In their chapter on the relationship between the drug trade and gun use, Zimring and Hawkins point to a number of empirical studies which have produced widely different conclusions (that is, as to whether it is possible to identify a 'causal' or 'etiological' link between the growth of the illicit drug trade and patterns of lethal firearms violence) and they have to conclude that future research on this question in the behavioural science tradition (i.e. looking for causal links between different variables) will have to decide on a consistent and specific set of theoretical enquiries, over and above the commonsense positions. They cite some evidence, for example, that suggests that the development of the illicit drug markets in Washington, DC in the mid-1980s could be connected with a reduction in that city in the total number of robbery homicides, consequent on the development for some local miscreants of a viable alternative career to street assault and robbery. In the end, Zimring and Hawkins are altogether agnostic on the relationship between gun violence and the drugs trade, and therefore also agnostic of the question of legalization of drugs.

The agnosticism which Zimring and Hawkins embrace in these critical discussions of data and evidence is a frustration, and is associated with a curious form of 19th century sociological positivism in which only a natural science model 'proof' can be seen as a form of argument. (This is also expressed in a quite extraordinarily eccentric chapter in which the authors try to weigh up the measurable impact of different initiatives that could be taken by the Government in order to help reduce the unnatural premature loss of life of ordinary American citizens-as if it were as a result of such rational calculations that governments work out their policy priorities-and therefore advance an argument for giving a governmental priority to improvements in traffic security.) The authors' strict behaviouralist epistemology means that what they are unable to allow in is the sweep of their own imagination and/or their making a commitment to the education and activation of public opinion, informed by the overwhelming evidence which this book itself provides. That evidence overwhelmingly suggests that the taken-for-granted right to bear arms itself-the Second Amendment of the American Constitution-is an originating source of the unparalleled levels of lethal violence on which this text reports, and which determines to treat the banning of such weapons as a natural experiment in community safety. In reaching for some kind of conclusion, they observe with resignation that 'the problem with handgun controls is that they depend on radical changes in citizen behaviour' (p. 201)-an observation that could surely be made about any kind of far-reaching social reform or; indeed, any kind of peace-making exercise in a war zone. It is a 'hard choice' from which Zimring and Hawkins, as strict behaviouralist social scientists, want to excuse themselves. It is also, we would ourselves want to argue, an unwarrantably cautious alternative to the swashbuckling research and reportage routinely produced and disseminated by the libertarian right in America, by the National Rifle Association and by the 'Second Amendment' apologists who want to extend firearms ownership among free-thinking Americans, as well as, of course, by the firearms manufacturers themselves who can clearly see the potential growth in a market for firearms in a nervous and increasingly 'fortressed' urban America.

Notes

1. This process of weapon substitution by firearms owners in England and Wales had already been apparent by the summer of 1996 to many firearms registration officers working in English and Welsh police forces in England and Wales. In the event, the overall number of shotguns recorded on firearms certificates in 1996 increased by 1 percent over 1995 (to a total of 1,335,000) (Barber et al., 1997).

2. The long practised restriction of firearms ownership to the aristocracy, the army and to small numbers of sports shooters under specifically regulated conditions-an effect of the lessons of the Civil War-has been subject only to short-term challenge in England (most notably, in the years after the First World War; by soldiers who had brought their weapons home from the front). So in a civil society which has lived without the presence of firearms in private ownership, American debates about the constitutional 'right to bear arms' (the Second Amendment of the US Constitution) have very little purchase. Spokespeople for the National Rifle Association and similar organizations in Britain generally do not attempt to articulate any such argument, though they do on occasion attempt to advance a variant of another discursive strategy-first developed by American firearms manufacturers in the late 1980s-which locates the carrying of a concealed firearm (like a rape alarm) for self-defence as a kind of modern-day feminist realism.

3. According to an investigation carried our by The Observer newspaper in 1996, for example; some 48 percent of all households in the United States contained guns, as against only 4.7 percent in England and Wales (The Observer 18 August 1996). These figures were generally consistent with official national statistics on firearms ownership by 100,000 population collected by the Canadian Department of Justice, though these figures have been correctly criticized by the British gun lobby as unreliable as the framework for any strictly 'scientific' comparative analysis.

4. For one assessment of the initial effects of the Three Strikes and You're Out regimes in the United Stares, see Schihor and Sechrest (1996).

5. Only Australia and Canada are currently involved in the establishment of any such national system of firearms registration. In England and Wales, the registration of firearms takes place under the aegis of 47 different police forces, with no national database.

References

Barber; Ann, Graham Wilkins and Tim Leech (1997) 'Firearms Certificate Statistics 1996', Home Office Statistical Bulletin 17/97.

Bourgois, Philippe (1995) In Search of Respect: Selling Crack in El Baveio. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Deiulio, John (1994) 'The Question of Black Crime', The Public Interest Fall: 3.

Department of Justice, Canada (1996) A Review of Firearms Statistics and Regulations in Selected Countries. Ottawa: Department of Justice (Firearms Control Task Force), March, Table 1.1.

Fingerhut, L.A. and J.C. Kleinman (1989) Firearms Mortality Among Children and Youth. Advanced Centre for Health and Vital Statistics, National Centre for Health Statistics No.178.

Raup, Ethan (1996) 'Politics, Race and US Penal Strategies', Soundings 2 (Spring): 153-68.

Schihor; David and Dale K. Sechrest (eds) (1996) Three Strikes and You're Out: Vengeance as Public Policy. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.

Van Dijk, Jan and Mayhew, Pat (1992) Criminal Victimisation in the Industrial World. The Hague: Ministry of Justice.

Zawitz, Marianne W. (1996) Firearm Injury From Crime. Washington, DC: US Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Selected Findings, April.

 

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Salford Papers in Sociology: Firearms Crime - at the time of the Cullen Inquiry

by Ian Taylor

 

Revised version of a paper presented to the Scottish Association for the Study of Delinquency

I am very conscious of this paper being presented as a key point in the process of social response (or what sociologists call “societal reaction”) to an absolutely tragic event in the lives of sixteen families in Dunblane last March 13th. I want to add my own tribute to the courage of those families and the determination of the spontaneously-generated pressure group, the Snowdrop petitioners, based in Dunblane, and their sister organisation, the Gun Control Network, to produce some concrete legislative response from Government to Dunblane and to the continuing dangers associated with the increased prevalence of handguns and other lethal weapons in private hands in Britain. Over the last six months we have witnessed a quite remarkable story in terms of the history of pressure-group politics, or what sometimes is called the politics of "moral enterprise" (Becker 1963; Gusfield 1963). Over this short period, a Government which, remains sentimentally and ideologically opposed in general terms to the idea of market-regulation per se, has been forced to present itself, perhaps rather uneasily, as an activist government, determinedly intervening in the market in firearms, and doing so with the declared purpose of protecting a widely-voiced conception of the public interest (in this instance, the interest that the British people overwhelmingly declared in the summer of 1996 of living in a gun-free society)1.

In this paper, I have three connected purposes. Firstly, I want to provide some overview of our present state of knowledge about the relative prevalence and the developing trajectories of firearms crime in Britain in the years leading up to Dunblane. I want then to discuss, very briefly, the various social, cultural and economic developments which, I will argue, underpin current anxieties (or even "panic") over the safety and security of everyday social life in Britain, and the dangers of violent assault or even lethal violence (for example, with a gun or, in even more recent public debates, a combat knife). I will not in this paper be entering into the fast-developing concern over knives, although I am aware that the knife has been described, in the light of last year's homicide statistics, as the most "favoured murder weapon", at least in England and Wales2. Nor will I be dealing here with the larger national panic over "morality" as a response to fears about the lack of civility and personal safety in Britain in the 1990s, except only in my abbreviated reference later to the "crisis of masculinity". This paper is about the issue of the firearm specifically, and the anxieties which the prevalence and the lethal use of the firearm has produced.

In the third and final section of this paper I will offer some provisional assessment of the possible consequences of the legislation being proposed by the present Government on the banning of handguns. I will make some comments on the claims of the so-called “gun lobby” as to the futility of the proposed legislation, raising some research and other issues about the legal firearms-owners' response to the legislation. But I will also offer a few speculative remarks on the situations that may be develop in the so-called “hidden economy” of professional crime, notably in some of our more stressed urban areas, especially where no alternative forms of employment appear to be emerging for “hard” manual working-class men.  It is apparent that the debate about firearms and their availability cannot be confined to the debate about the claims made by amateur and sporting gun-users to their rights to shoot.


1. A Gun Free Society

One of the unspoken truths about Britain or at least about civil life in Britain (which the ongoing debates of the summer have once again brought to public consciousness) is the fact that everyday life in this society has been largely free, historically, from the use of firearms. A closely-connected taken-for-granted assumption, of course, lies in the fact of an unarmed police force, and, with that, perhaps, the more deeply engrained understanding that this is a society which - unlike the United States in particular - has no standing militia (the National Guard) and in which the use of State or military violence to resolve social or civic conflict (notwithstanding the mobilisation of the army during the General Strike) has a relatively restricted history. The general absence of firearms amongst the general population in Britain, by comparison with the widespread ownership of firearms by American households, is reflected in the relative prevalence of firearms homicides in the two societies, which, in nearly all studies, is calculated at 150 times higher in the U.S. than in the U.K. (by comparison with a 3:1 ratio for non-firearm homicides) (Home Office/Scottish Office 1996).

Data on firearms-ownership in eight selected countries collected by the Canadian Department of Justice's Firearms Control Task Group in 1995 further underlines the "conditions of existence" of this "commonsense" relationship between levels of firearms ownership, homicide and other lethal outcomes.

Table 1: Firearms ownership: Selected Countries3

Country                    Firearms ownership per 100,000 Population

United States               85,385

Switzerland                  42,857

New Zealand               29,412

Canada                         24,138

France                          22.6 per cent of households

Australia                      19,444

Britain                            3,307

Japan                               414

Source: "A Review of Firearm Statistics and Regulations in Selected Countries".  Firearms Control Task Group, Department of Justice Canada (March 1995): Table 1.1.

 (A qualifying footnote provided by the Firearms Control Task Group indicates that “most recent statistics have been provided where available, averages over several years have been used in some cases, data and sources vary”). These data were reproduced in the evidence presented by the Home Office and the Scottish Office to the Cullen Enquiry (Home Office/Scottish Office 1996. Table A.l).

Now it is true that the figures produced by the Canadian Department of Justice (like the figures produced by other proponents of gun control) have been subject to vitriolic criticism by individual spokespeople for the firearms lobby in Britain – most notably, by Mr Jan A. Stevenson in a volume of personal evidence presented to the Cullen Enquiry (Stevenson 1996) on the grounds of their faulty “scholarship” the unreliability of the figures on gun ownership, and the failure of the Canadian researchers to prove some kind of causal relationship between levels of firearms ownership and the numbers of firearms crimes in these particular societies. A curious characteristic of gun owners and users who have entered the policy debate on firearms control is the very narrow, nineteenth-century version of social scientific positivism which they embrace, built around the manipulation of allegedly value-free statistical facts into specifically causal chains. It is precisely this version of natural science argumentation, of course, that has been used by the tobacco industry in its ongoing struggles against the regulation of advertising and sale of tobacco, denying that health researchers have demonstrated causal order in the close relationship they find between tobacco smoking and cancer. From the perspective of a more disinterested observer as well as from the perspective of the citizen prioritising issues of personal and community safety, however, the onus of proof surely lies on the opponents of gun control to deny the importance of statistics on the high level of prevalence not only of firearms crime, especially homicides, but also of suicides and accidents in the home involving firearms in societies with high levels of ownership of firearms by private individuals.

 Table 2: "Homicide with Firearm" Rate, Selected Countries

Country                     Position in Firearms        Homicide with

                                     Ownership League         Firearms Rate

                                   Table (Canadian Dept       per 100,000

                                      of Justice review)            Population

 United States                             1                              6.4

 France*                                      5                              2.32

 Switzerland*                              2                              1.4

 Canada                                       4                              0.67

 New Zealand                              3                             0.49

 Australia                                     6                             0.36

 Britain                                          7                            0.14

 Japan                                           8                            0.06

* Includes attempted and completed murder

Source: "A Review of Firearm Statistics and Regulations in Selected Countries" Firearms Control Task Group Department of Justice Canada (March l995): Table 1.1.

(A qualifying footnote provided by the Firearms Control Task Group indicates that "most recent statistics have been provided where available, averages over several years have been used in some cases, data and sources vary”).

Suicides with firearms per 100,000 people were calculated by the Canadian Task Force Group, with what obviously was a very broad brush, at 7.1 in the United States. 5.8 in Switzerland, 4.9 in France, 3.6 in Canada, 3.5 in Australia and New Zealand. but at only 0.4 in Britain and 0.14 in Japan. Accidents with firearms (often involving children) were calculated at the astronomical rate of 1,441 per 100,000 in the United States, 84 in Switzerland, 63 in Canada, but only 8 in Britain. For all that the data presented by the Canadian Task Force have a problematic status (and were never intended as strictly controlled comparative data, but rather to provide a general "steer" for use in the process of policy-formation) they do provide indicative support for the argument, so powerfully voiced by those American firearms researchers most maligned by the National Rifle Association, that the very presence of firearms in private households makes it likely that they will be used, in moments of private or domestic anger, personal despair or, indeed, in accidents. The research conducted over recent years by Arthur Kellermann, currently professor of public health and head of the Centre for Injury Control at Emory University in Atlanta, Georgia - much despised by the American NRA and by Mr Jan Stevenson - suggests that "homes where guns are kept are more than three times more likely to be the scene of a homicide than homes without guns, even after the independent effects of victim age, sex, age, race, neighbourhood, previous family violence, anyone using illicit drugs and any history of previous arrest (have been) taken into consideration" (Kellermann, 1994: 6l5).4

This is not the place to enter into extended debate with the firearms owners and their spokespeople on issues of social scientific reasoning or problems of moral philosophy, though it is noticeable how some of the spokespeople for organisations like the Sports Shooting Association have felt no qualms in lecturing others on these topics5 making highly selective reference to some American studies but not others. This author does not start from the philosophical position that "the gun" is some kind of culturally-neutral object: historically, the gun has played an enormously important role as an instrument of enforcement and power, not only in the world of organised crime and villainy but also in the subjugation of subordinate populations (notably, in North America, the aboriginal peoples themselves) by their owners and users (the colonists). It has been noticeable over the last few months how even some of the most respectable of gun clubs persist, by habit or by preference, in the use of human images as targets. The gun is an instrument of lethal violence which was momentarily (and only relatively recently) domesticated by a small group of practitioners, primarily of military backgrounds, as an Olympic sport. In the United States, a society founded from the earliest days of pioneer settlement on the use of human violence, especially in the South and mid-West. and individual firearms ownership has been a taken-for-granted matter (a part of pioneer American identity, later to he re-designated, in a most curious re-writing of history, as a right of all American citizens under the Second Amendment of the U.S. Constitution - 'the right to bear arms" (Wills 1995). This re-writing of the history of the pioneer settlement (valorising the gun as an instrument of "protection" against a marauding Other - the Indian6) suppressed the history of firearms during the later nineteenth century, and specially during Prohibition (cf. Kennett and Anderson 1975), but is an enormously powerful and multi-faceted American cultural myth nonetheless, carrying a range of messages about masculinity, individualistic self-reliance and the importance of enterprise "on the American frontier" John Wayne, Clint Eastwood etc) (Wright 1975). It is not at all clear what relevance this history has for citizens of the older societies of Europe, or for Britain in particular. As nearly all social historians agree, the last occasion on which citizens of Britain in general had any general access to, or experience with, firearms was during the English Civil War. The role played initially by the landed aristocracy in this disarming of the larger populace is a fascinating story in English social history (cf Kennett and Anderson, 1975 c.1). It is not my concern to rehearse that story here: what is plain is that for three hundred years the culture of everyday life in Britain, even at moments of extreme social tension, has tended not to involve the resort to the gun.

In Britain, direct reference in political or criminological discussion to American experience with guns used in crime - as if such an experience might be relevant to domestic circumstances in this country - is very much a recent development. There have been several different moments in post-war British history when fears of American-style crime arriving in Britain have been actively expressed. George Orwell, famously, worried about "the decline of the English murder" as a result of the press coverage given to some Chicago gangster-style killings committed by Americans based in Britain during the last years of the war (Orwell, 1965). There was widespread anxiety during the 1950s over the impact of American crime and horror comics on the minds of the British adolescent (Barker, 1984). Social and cultural commentators worried about the arrival of American style "muggings" in Britain in 1973-4 (Hall et al 1978), and, in the same period - as some recent exemplary archival research by journalists has reminded us7 - there was evidence of anxiety over the prevalence of rifles in armed robberies signified in a double murder of two serving police officers in Shepherd's Bush in London. What distinguishes the anxiety over the use of firearms in crime in Britain in the mid-1990s, I would argue, firstly, is the way in which the use of lethal violence resonates so powerfully the sense of finality or hopelessness that pervades popular culture (an issue to which I shall return) and secondly, a set of official statistics on increases in use of firearms in crime which point to some kind or sea-change taking place in the routine character of crime, in England, Scotland and Wales.

Table 3 Reported offences involving firearms, England and Wales 1984-1994

Year    Homicides   Attempted     Other      Robbery   Burglary   Criminal    Other      All Offences

                                  murder &       Violence                                     Damage

                                 other acts

                                 endangering

                                 life

1984         67             322                 2,330          2,098           93           3,417          49                8,376

1985         45             353                 2,652          2,531         125           3,977          59                9,742

1986         51             361                 2,015          2,629           96           4,140          89                9,363

1987         77            508                  1,944          2,831         109           3,453          69                9,002

1988         36             531                 1,816          2,688         107           3,235          80                8,524

1989         45             581                 1,914          3,390         133           3,321        111                9,502

1990         60             663                 1,855          3,939         154           3,544        118              10,373

1991         55             861                 1,795          5,996         176           3,777        169              12,129

1992         56             866                1,893           5,827         182           4,318        163              13,305

1993         74          1,047                1,738           5,918         235           4,682        257              13,951

1994         66          1,044                1,777           4,104         255           5,445        286             12,977

 Source:   Criminal Statistics (England and Wales) 1994 Cm. 3010 (Table 3.1)

These figures suggest that there was a 310 per cent increase in the numbers of attempted murders in England and Wales between 1984 and 1994, a 96 per cent increase in armed robberies, a 174 per cent increase in robberies with a weapon, and, overall, an increase of 55 per cent in all offences involving firearms. Figures released by the Scottish Office in the course of this last summer suggest a similar, if more pronounced, set of developments:

 Table 4 Criminal Offences involving Firearms, Scotland 1990-1994

1990                                    435

1991                                    729

1992                                    800

1993                                    738

1994                                    772

 Source: "Crimes and Offences Involving Firearms" Scottish Office 1996

This set of figures highlights a 77.5 per cent increase in the number of incidents of use of firearms in crime reported to the Scottish police in just four years. To American observers, of course, the statistics on homicide and on crimes of violence involving firearms in Britain are minimal, and, indeed, from the perspective of many American law enforcement specialists the rates of firearms crime reported in Britain are "utopian". This is another way, of course, of saying that the containment of lethal violence within British society (through whatever combination of culture and regulation) is a significant achievement. It is also a way of understanding the depth of current anxieties in Britain about a perceived trend towards the use of guns in crime - however minimal this trend may appear to other societies attuned to much higher levels of firearms crime - and the perceived growth of a "gun culture" in certain parts of certain cities. My general argument here is that the social response to the Dunblane tragedy must be understood in relation not just to the fear of solitary psychopaths or issues of school security (with which large sections of the Cullen Report are pre-occupied), but in relation to a broader anxiety about issues of safety and order in everyday life in Britain. Putting the point directly, the firearms debate has as much to do with local rumours circulating around our cities (not least in local community newspapers and similar media) over the use of handguns or sawn-off shotguns in raids by local villains in raids on the neighbourhood post office as it does with so-called "spree killers"8 like Thomas Hamilton.


2. Clear and Present Dangers: popular anxieties over firearms crime

In this paper, I can only point briefly to five different dimensions of the anxiety which has been expressed over the use of firearms in crime in Britain in recent years.

First and foremost, of course, have been the dramatic and unprecedented incidents at Hungerford in 1987 and Dunblane earlier this year, followed up on our television screens with reports of other horrendous examples of "spree killing" (in Vernon, British Columbia and in Tasmania, both in April 1996). The power of these incidents to act as signifiers (perhaps of events expected only in the United States) is unmistakable, especially when associated in the short public memory with other individual incidents, like that in Monkseaton, Whitley Bay in 1995.

The outbreak of these incidents, however, is also reinforced, I would argue, by other evidence received in the public mind as to the growth of firearms availability and use. The evidence which feeds into the public mind may include the reports they read in the national newspaper press, with their regular recital of police-recorded statistics on armed robberies (there was, for example. quite heavy' coverage in much of the national press of the steep increases reported in such offences in the early 1990s). It will almost certainly also draw on the reports of crime incidents in local community newspapers, which frequently report on the dramatic use of firearms in local robberies. Police spokespersons insist both in public and in private communications that there has been a dramatic increase in the 1990’s in the numbers of firearms discovered in the course of their routine searches of private premises. It may also be confirmed by the increased visibility of glossy firearms and survivalist magazines on display in local newsagents stores and railway station bookstalls.9  Obtaining 'evidence' to support or to qualify these popular perceptions presents considerable difficulties: the existing registration system of firearms owners does not provide detailed record of the number of firearms held. There is no British study of the number of illegal firearms in circulation, and no such study in the earlier post-war period.

Closely associated with this public perception of there being "more guns around" is the much reported anxiety of the growth of a “gun culture, especially amongst certain sections of British youth. In part, there is a troubled recognition amongst citizens of the current pre-occupations of popular commercial culture and its collapse - for example, in the films of Quentin Tarantino and, more recently, Oliver Stone - into dystopian and nihilist themes. On another dimension, there is a heavily racialised dimension to this anxiety, with commentators making a connection between the growing popularity of Gangsta Rap music in the late 1980s and early 1990s and the frequently voiced complaint that for some young people, especially young black men, guns were becoming "a fashion accessory". Closely implicated in this discursive refrain were images of the Jamaican Yardie gangs, active in the drug trade and active also in their romance with the gun. Though this reference to the growth of a gun culture was heavily racialised in the early 1990s, there is some evidence that the police and mass media discussion of a "gun culture" was inherently unstable, and that the anxiety could be displaced onto other populations - especially, perhaps, the professional criminal fraternity active in certain areas of long-term unemployment.

It is in this field that the fourth set of anxieties about firearms crime in Britain begin to surface, although my argument would be that they are rarely articulated in a clear-cut and direct fashion in mainstream political and mass media discussion. I also would recognise that these anxieties have much more provenance in some regions of the United Kingdom (Liverpool, Manchester, the East End of London) than in others. The anxiety here is that the increased use of guns, especially in inner city crime - but also the use of combat knives for example, in the murder of headmaster Philip Lawrence are expressions inter alia of what many social commentators identify as a rather desperate "crisis of masculinity", most marked in conditions of continuing and long-term poverty born of the crisis of mass manufacturing industry ("Fordism") in the 1980s. A form of what Bob Connell (1996) has called "protest masculinity" is in evidence in these areas, in which young and middle aged men, -deprived of their cultural destiny as hard working skilled or semi-skilled manual workers, deploy their muscularity and forceful culture in the illicit but highly competitive and risk-laden local markets of crime. And they do so - defending the markets they have conquered, and the territories over which they organise supplies - with the gun.

The fifth anxiety is no more demonstrable a feature of popular anxiety over guns than the fourth, but I would argue that at some level of popular consciousness the issue of firearms and their potential use in crime connects up to widely-felt anxieties about the wholesale "marketisation of social relations”. Reports of increased weapons finds by national customs authorities fuel speculation as to the number of such trans-shipments of weapons which are not being discovered by the authorities, especially in the context of weakening of border-controls across the European Community.10  The anxiety over firearms arises in part out of the fear that access to firearms is becoming easier as a direct result of the increasing liberalisation of markets.  It seems clear that access to handguns has become easier, especially at the level of local crime communities: the increase in the use of handguns in crimes known 10 the police (England and Wales between 1984 and 1994 was in the order of 142 per cent, compared to only 13 per cent for the generally more expensive shotguns, and some 7 per cent for all other types of weapon (Criminal Statistics, England and Wales 1994 Table 3.3). There may even be some recognition that the increased liberalisation and globalisation of market activity in itself is making easier the entry of cheaper American and Eastern European handguns in particular, but also the even more lethal machine guns and heavy weapons that are widely available near to the war-zones of central Europe. Again, it is not necessarily the case that weapons like these are now widely available in the UK: it is rather that there are fears (with different degrees of supporting evidence) that they could become so.

Some of these fears will appear entirely speculative. But the question is whether we should approach the widespread anxiety over firearms (and related violence) by recognising the momentous changes that are currently taking place along these different social and cultural dimensions (post-Fordist long-term unemployment and the associated growth of craft criminality, the crises of masculinity, the dystopian themes in mass culture and the anxieties produced by the marketisation of social life) or whether we should proceed, as spokespeople for the sports shooters and firearms industry would have us do, as though all was well and stable with the broader culture and particularly with men, except only for the unpredictable emergence of a few individual psychopaths. My own judgement is that the defence of Britain’s relatively gun-free social history requires a more serious response.


3. Firearms Crime: the immediate future

I should start this concluding discussion with the observation that too much of what will follow (and too much of the debate over firearms in Britain) has a speculative, rather than very carefully grounded, character. Lord Cullen was not the first to express his surprise at the undeveloped and uncoordinated system of record-keeping which is supposed to inform firearms regulation and control in Britain. More recently, a series of similar complaints have been made at major national conferences of police.11  It is clear that any intervention in this debate which treats existing police data for example, on levels of firearms ownership (numbers of legally owned firearms in private hands etc) - uncritically must be open to suspicion. Mr Jan Stevenson is surely right, in the evidence he presented to the Cullen Enquiry, to insist that there are far more guns in private hands than existing police records suggest. His purpose was to direct attention to the volume of guns illegally in circulation in order to support his argument that proposals directed at the legal market would be substantively irrelevant to the more serious problem. All different protagonists in the difficult argument about firearms in Britain can agree on the pressing need for a system of record-keeping on firearms ownership in this country on a par with the systems (like Project Search12) which have been developed for tracing guns used in crime in America by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (Vince, 1996), but extended to all firearms in private ownership in the United Kingdom.  They can presumably all also support calls for much more sophisticated extended research into firearms ownership and firearms crime in Britain, in order to ensure that the ongoing debate is no longer articulated around American realities (like the "concealed weapon" law in states like Florida, Mississippi and Oregon. which surely has no direct or immediate relevance to the sets of social and cultural conditions obtaining in Britain, even in our most stressed urban areas and neighbourhoods).13

But Mr Stevenson moves a little quickly in wanting to focus only on the strictly illegal trade. The Sports Shooting Association have argued, with the support of the Firearms Consultative Committee - ostensibly a House of Commons committee, but in reality a forum for the firearms industry and the sports shooters, and unrepresentative of all public interests in this field (for example, relatives of the victims of firearms crime) - that there is a clear and demonstrable difference between their own respectable memberships on the one hand, and dangerous and psychopathic individuals on the other. This is a powerful discursive device in public debate, but this manichaean dichotomy finds little favour amongst psychoanalysts or, indeed, amongst serious students of contemporary masculinity.14 Great emphasis is placed on the existing system of registration and licensing as a major "fail-safe" in British firearms law. But Hungerford and Dunblane were "spree murders" committed by firearms-owners who had been passed fit to own a gun under the present system of licensing. This system of licensing really carries no severe penalties for individuals "who forget" to update their licenses, and there is no maximum limit on the number of firearms that can be possessed by a legal licensee (a "ticket-holder"). A really critical issue in present circumstances are the numbers of firearms-owners who are holding firearms "off-ticket" in the belief that, as fully-accredited licence-owners, they would never challenged. There is no knowing how extensive a practice this is amongst firearms-owners, "respectable" or otherwise: alarming reports have appeared in the press, especially since Dunblane.15 There is much discussion amongst police officers involved in the various Armed Crime Units (created in the early 1990s in response to the upturn in armed robberies) about the intense trading taking place at this time (before the final passage of the new legislation) amongst legitimate owners of firearms. Many of these firearms-owners, no doubt, are trying to ensure that they are only in possession of legal firearms in order to maximise the compensation they will eventually receive from the Government. Others, however, may be positioning themselves to try and retain a personal collection of legal firearms (including the .22 pistol). Still others may be selling off their collections into the "black market" on a permanent basis, or loaning them out. In the absence of any serious research into the practices of legal firearms-owners it is very difficult to tell. Nor it must be emphasised. is there any research, or, for that matter, any regular, serious and professional investigation into security arrangements at Britain's 2,118 licensed gun clubs.16 Arguments raised during the national debate of 1996 to the effect that the retention of guns in licensed clubs might be more secure (for example, from theft) than in private homes have clearly not been persuasive amongst sports-shooters themselves. In its response to the Cullen Enquiry, the Government intimated that a system of inspection would be put in place to oversee security arrangements at gun clubs and that clubs which failed these inspections would no doubt have to close. This commitment to strict regulation, by a Government not known for any such practices, should certainly be the subject of careful research and evaluation.

On the question of how many legitimately owned firearms are stolen for use by others in crime, the evidence presented to Cullen Enquiry suggested that:

In 1994 there were just 3,000 offences in England. Wales and Scotland in which one or more firearms was stolen, most often from residential property, although it should be noted that the principal weapon stolen was an air weapon in more than 50 per cent of cases, whereas it was a shotgun in 19.5 per cent of cases and a pistol in only 9.6 per cent.  (Cullen 1996, Para 9.8)

Police spokespeople suggest that the use of firearms in crime, stolen from legal owners, is a variable problem, more significant in some parts of the country than others. In parts of the country where there is a thriving hidden economy in different types of firearms, theft of firearms from legal owners is an unnecessary additional risk. In these circumstances, the "grey market" in firearms (the trade between legal and illegal owners) will be a less obvious local phenomenon. In other parts of the country, it may be very significant indeed. Indeed, the whole issue of regional variation in legal firearms ownership, illegal ownership of firearms, and the use of firearms in crime cries out for investigation - not least in relation to the much-publicised variation in practices of different constabularies in respect of the existing licensing system.

However much they want to downplay the various problems that obtain in the world of legal and respectable gun-ownership, spokespeople for the sports shooters and other firearms-owners associations are right in pointing to the continuing problem of the full-blown hidden economy of guns in Britain. Estimates vary wildly as to the size of this illegal economy. Commander Davies' paper to this year's ACPO conference, admits there is no way of knowing whether there are one, two or three million firearms in private ownership in Britain today. Cohn Greenwood, in his evidence to Lord Cullen, gave figures of 2.7 million legally-held firearms and an "illegal pool" at least equal to that (Cullen, 1996 Para 95.).17 Once again, there is some evidence that the size of the illegal economy may vary considerably across regions: the city of Liverpool has been the site of several major firearms incidents (including six shootings of victims in the legs in April 1996) and several major firearms seizures over the last three years, and Greater Manchester, whilst it may have outlived its reputation as "Gunchester", is by no means free from a sense of threat. There have been several recent reports of problems with criminal use of firearms in Newcastle on Tyne. There is a pressing need for more systematic study of local crime markets, especially in the vicinity of ports, and local prevalence of illegal firearms availability and use, though the research involved would almost certainly carry with it significant personal risks.

Not much is yet known about the practicalities of the forthcoming ban of handguns and the actual processes of forfeiture and compensation. It will certainly be important to understand the different practices adopted by police forces across the country, not least with respect to individual firearms-owners who are suspected of trying to resist the ban, by stealth and deceit, or by outright refusal.  Will the courts be prepared to make use of prison sentences for firearms-owners resisting the new regime?  A continuing reliance on the use of the fine may create an incentive for some owners to side-step the new regime. And what certainly also needs to be evaluated is the real effect of the removal of over 120,000 handguns from private ownership on the general availability of such weapons, as well as on the overall rate of lethal violence per se (including suicides, domestic violence and accidents), and also on the effective policing of firearms-owners by local police.

There may be some sense in which the Government’s proposed legislation will ease the task of policing the illegal firearms market, in the sense that there can be no dissembling over handguns encountered by police during raids: all handguns will be illegal, and all persons found in possession of them can be charged with a criminal offence. There is little question, however, that any serious challenge to the prevalence and penetration of organised "craft criminality" in some of our cities will require a political and social programme of action which may be beyond the reach of our established political parties, especially in these "post-Fordist" times.

Acknowledgements

I want to acknowledge here extremely useful conversations held with D.C.I. Kevin Haigh of Greater Manchester Police and Tony Hill and Gill Marshall-Andrews of the Gun Control Network. The arguments and observations in this paper, however, are my own responsibility.


Endnotes

  1. The Government's sudden transformation into an "activist-Government of the public interest" dearly unsettled the gun lobby itself (who were unprepared for the Government moving beyond the recommendations of the Cullen Enquiry), but also that guardian of Conservative commonsense, the Daily Telegraph. Its editorial response to the Government's decision to move to a wholesale ban of handguns, made use of arguments more familiar in rather more progressive circles, to argue that the government was caught up in a "moral panic", whilst also echoing the arguments of the National Rifle Association in the United States, to the effect that "depriving the law-abiding of handguns leaves us less free as a people and brings close the day when the state has a monopoly of firepower" (Daily Telegraph editorial 'Making law in a Panic' 17 October 1996) (my emphasis - IT).

  2. Of the 729 deaths from homicide reported to the police in England and Wales in 1994, 236 involved a sharpened instrument (Duncan Campbell "When Knives are Out" The Guardian 29 October 1996).

  3. Another, unattributed estimate of firearms ownership which appeared in The Observer newspaper (18 August 1996) provided the following picture (which is not inconsistent with that presented by the Canadian Department of Justice).

Percentages of households with guns

 

United States             48.0              Belgium                        16.6

Norway                       32.0              Italy                              16.0

Canada                        29.1              Sweden                        15.1

Finland                        23                 Northern Ireland           8.4

France                          22                 Scotland                        4.7

New Zealand              22                 England and Wales      4.7

Austria                        19.4

Source: The Observer 18 August 1996 p.12 

  1. Kellermann's work is particularly despised in NRA circles for the challenge it poses to the idea of firearms ownership in the home as a hedge against lethal 'intruder violence". Far from guns providing an overall protection against homicide, Kellermann's analysis suggests that firearms possession increases the chances of homicide in the home (Kellermann, Rivara, Rushworth et al 1993).

  2. In its most recent pronouncements, for example, the Shooters' Rights Association claims that the proposed legislation on handguns constitutes "the most pernicious and evil legislation to stalk Europe since the reign of the Third Reich". (The Guardian 24 October 1996).

  3. The National Rifle Association's Book of Rifles opens with the following words: "The ability to shoot a rifle is an American tradition. Our country was established and its boundaries expanded westward by men with rifles in their hands. The rifle gave the settlers protection against marauding Indians and other foes, and was an important means of securing food for the pioneer family" (Smith and Smith, 1948, p. i).

  4. Ian Burrell, James Cusick and Michael Streeter ("Tories caught in Cullen Cross-fire" The Independent 15 October 1996) unearthed an internal Home Office report of 1972, submitted to Robert Carr, Home Secretary. This 153 page report, written by senior police officers, including Sir John Mackay, had demanded radical changes to the firearms licensing system, a national weapons index, centralised processing of applications for licenses and a system for giving all firearms an identification number. Burrell et al claim that the report was in some way "suppressed": it was certainly never published.

  5. Lord Cullen (Para 9.60) uses the term "amok killings" without elaborating on the origins of this usage.

  6. At the end of March 1996, there were at least seven British gun magazines registered with the Audit Bureau of Circulation, with a combined sale of 175,100. (The Observer 24 March 1996). A significant number of American firearms magazines were also in circulation.

  7. Customs and Excise officers in Britain in 1993 seized 8,674 firearms at British airports and ports, compared with only 1,427 in 1992 (The Guardian 9 October 1994).

  8. Cf. for example Commander Dai Davies (Metropolitan Police) "Firearms in Society: Time to Act" Paper presented to ACPO Conference, 1996.

  9. Project Search is a Windows-based computer programme which enables the user to trace the purchases of individual guns found used in crime down to house number and street name in any city in America.

  10. For a very sceptical evaluation of the so-called "shall issue" laws (allowing carrying of concealed weapons for self-defence) in these three states, see McDowall, Loftin and Wiersema 1995. Spokespeople for the National Rifle Association in the United States, and some spokespeople for the firearms-owners in this country, have been considerably more enthusiastic about a national study published this year by John Lott of the University of Chicago relating the passage of "concealed carry" laws in 31 American states to the more pronounced fall in the numbers of homicides and other crimes.

  11. Attempts made in the 1960s, during moves to de-institutionalise large numbers of patients from mental hospitals, to identify the precise set of characteristics that would distinguish really "dangerous" individuals from others eventually came to naught and were abandoned both by the psychiatric community and leading organisations within the criminal justice system (cf. Bottoms 1977). In its evidence to the Home Affairs Committee in May 1996, the British Medical Association, through its secretary, Mac Armstrong, indicated that GPs, psychiatrists and psychologists were in no position "to assist in any reliable way with the prediction of those positively safe with firearms, nor those who are unsafe" (The Guardian, 3 May 1996).

  12. In June 1996, for example, a prison officer in Milton Keynes was found in possession of a private armoury of twelve weapons (of which only seven were licensed). The collection, which included one sub-machine gun, was discovered only after this licensed owner threatened a women with a Magnum in a railway station parking lot. (Mail on Sunday 9 June 1996)

  13. This figure for the number of licensed gun clubs in Britain is given in the Cullen Report, Para. 8.36. As James Richardson, the deputy chief constable of Strathclyde force, discovered in his study of Scottish police procedures, the licence renewal form filled out on request by licensing officers makes no enquiry with respect to the gun club where the weapon will be used ("'Inadequate system' used to renew gun certificates" The Guardian 25 June 1996).

  14. There are all kinds of problems of definition as to what would count as an illegal weapon in Britain, and also whether the count should be extended to "imitation weapons" (which are an enormous source of tension in some police force areas).

  15. In February 1994, for example, Merseyside Police seized nine sub machine guns, three Kalashnikovs and one Armalite rifle, plus 250 rounds of ammunition, in a raid on a flat in Everton (The Guardian 8 February 1994). However, problems in the use of firearms in crime, including murders, have continued, especially in certain parts of that city.

  16. In April 1996, for example, Anthony Constantinou, known locally as Tony the Greek, was shot down with a shotgun in the Cafe Loco, in the middle of Manchester's fashionable Whitworth Street strip. In May, a supermarket in Eccles, North Manchester, was raided in the early evening hours by a gang wielding a sub machine gun. The overall rate of firearms crime in Manchester, however, was significantly down by comparison with 1993, which witnessed the murder of the 16 year old Ben Stanley in a fast food shop in Moss Side, and the 30 year old Chris Horrox, apparently shot down during the course of a struggle between different fly posting franchises for control of city centre wall space.


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Firearms and Public Safety: Continuing Dangers after the Handguns Ban

     by Ian Taylor

      Department of Sociology and Social Policy, University of Durham

 

        Paper for Conference on Gun Control: Current Issues and Future Challenges

       Scarman Centre for the Study of Public Order, University of Leicester, 10 February 1999

Introduction

 I would like to introduce my paper here today with four, in many ways, rhetorical remarks which I would like to act as a background framework in all that I have to say today. I would want, first, to anticipate arguments that may occur later - comparing rates of firearms rates in Britain, North America or elsewhere - by reminding you that the United Kingdom has for many years had a far lower rate of firearms crime than the United States and also than any European member-